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15-Oct-2019 02:51

It was especially deep, however, at companies that were also hard to value and where company announcements and “guidance” could have a big impact on investor expectations.

Think here of a fast-growing technology company, where it’s difficult to predict the exact pace of future growth and where the statements of top management can significantly influence investor expectations.

That’s above and beyond their salaries and the official value of their options.

In the 90 days before the option grant, the average stock generated what analysts call an “abnormal negative return” of 1.9% — that’s a return 1.9% below those on shares of comparable companies during that same period.

Federal prosecutors filed criminal charges against more than a hundred executives, convicting 12 and sending five to prison.

Companies and executives paid out almost

It was especially deep, however, at companies that were also hard to value and where company announcements and “guidance” could have a big impact on investor expectations.Think here of a fast-growing technology company, where it’s difficult to predict the exact pace of future growth and where the statements of top management can significantly influence investor expectations.

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It was especially deep, however, at companies that were also hard to value and where company announcements and “guidance” could have a big impact on investor expectations.

Think here of a fast-growing technology company, where it’s difficult to predict the exact pace of future growth and where the statements of top management can significantly influence investor expectations.

That’s above and beyond their salaries and the official value of their options.

In the 90 days before the option grant, the average stock generated what analysts call an “abnormal negative return” of 1.9% — that’s a return 1.9% below those on shares of comparable companies during that same period.

Federal prosecutors filed criminal charges against more than a hundred executives, convicting 12 and sending five to prison.

Companies and executives paid out almost $1 billion in fines and civil settlements.

At those companies, the shares had on average abnormal low returns of minus 3.5% before the options were granted and abnormal high returns of 3.4% in the months right after.

That’s a huge and timely swing for seemingly random fluctuations.

billion in fines and civil settlements.

At those companies, the shares had on average abnormal low returns of minus 3.5% before the options were granted and abnormal high returns of 3.4% in the months right after.

That’s a huge and timely swing for seemingly random fluctuations.

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Either the CEOs are incredibly lucky or they are manipulating stock prices.” Daines and his colleagues found a remarkable telltale V-shaped pattern in stock prices when they analyzed 1,500 companies that granted options.At companies that issued lots of stock options, the disclosures before an option grant were more likely than not to drive shares down and those that came after an option date were more likely to send prices up.The same pattern showed up with company-issued “guidance” about upcoming earnings and with accounting decisions that effectively shift profits from one quarter to the next.In Dating Game 2.0, however, many top executives appear to be reaping the same kinds of windfalls with a new variant on the original scam.

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Instead of manipulating the dates of option grants to match a dip in the stock price, companies appear to be manipulating the stock price itself so that it’s low on the predetermined option date and higher right afterward. “But we tested for all kinds of benign explanations and none of them fit the data.It’s been a decade since scores of corporations became embroiled in the “dating game” scandals over backdated CEO stock options, and most people thought that reforms in the aftermath ended the problem years ago. Daines of Stanford University, has unearthed a new and potentially more sinister version of the scheme — call it Dating Game 2.0 — that replaced the original.



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